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Wanwuyun: Signing a new framework agreement with Vanke, with the term ending at the end of 2027. On December 13th, Wanwu cloud hosting Science and Technology Service Co., Ltd. (02602.HK) issued an announcement. In view of the fact that the existing framework agreement will expire on December 31st, 2024 and the company intends to continue to sign similar transactions thereafter, the board of directors announced that Wanwuyun signed a new framework agreement with Vanke on December 12th, 2024, including a framework agreement on the use and maintenance of new technology systems. New property leasing Framework Agreement; New AIoT and BPaaS solution service framework agreement; New property service framework agreement; New value-added service framework agreement; And the new property agency service framework agreement, valid from January 1, 2025 to December 31, 2027. As of the date of announcement, Vanke Company accounts for 56.84% of the issued share capital of Wanwuyun and is the controlling shareholder. At the same time, the announcement shows that the extraordinary general meeting of shareholders will be held on December 31, 2024 to review and approve related transactions and annual caps. In addition, Wanwuyun announced that its registered address in China has been changed to Room 2201, Building B, Chuangzhiyun Center, No.1 Guangsha Road, Futian District, Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province.About 300 people have been killed in the attack on civilians by Haitian gangs. On December 12, local time, it was learned that the attack on civilians by Haitian gangs continued. As of December 11, the number of victims has reached nearly 300, and nearly 60 people have been kidnapped. (CCTV News)Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.

The CSI convertible bond index closed down 0.42% at midday, while Z-mode convertible bond, Tongguang convertible bond and future convertible bond fell 8.76%, 6.00% and 5.21% respectively. Lide convertible bonds rose by 20.00% and Guiguang convertible bonds rose by 7.60%.Brazilian President Lula's intracranial drainage tube has been removed and recovered well. On December 12, local time, the Syrian-Lebanese Hospital in Sao Paulo, Brazil issued a medical announcement, saying that the intracranial drainage tube placed after President Lula's surgery had been removed that evening. At present, Lula is conscious and thinking normally, and is still in intensive care in the hospital. According to the announcement, Lula's nervous system is normal and there are no complications, and there will be no sequelae in the future. At present, he is recovering well and can eat and talk normally. The hospital advised him to continue to rest.Ocean Shipping Group: In the first 11 months, it achieved sales of 30.6 billion yuan. On December 12, Ocean Shipping Group (03377.HK) released unaudited operation data. In November, the company achieved an accumulated sales of about 3.73 billion yuan. The agreed sales floor area is about 346,300 square meters; The average agreed sales price is 10,800 yuan per square meter. In the first 11 months of this year, COSCO achieved a cumulative agreed sales of about 30.6 billion yuan; The cumulative agreed floor area is about 2,544,100 square meters; The cumulative average agreed sales price is about 12,000 yuan per square meter.

Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.About 300 people have been killed in the attack on civilians by Haitian gangs. On December 12, local time, it was learned that the attack on civilians by Haitian gangs continued. As of December 11, the number of victims has reached nearly 300, and nearly 60 people have been kidnapped. (CCTV News)According to CITIC Securities, it is necessary for deficit ratio to rise to nearly 4%, and mortgage interest rates is expected to fall further. According to Yicai, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. Regarding what it means to change the tone of fiscal policy from "positive" to "more positive", the chief economist of CITIC Securities clearly said that I think it means that the whole fiscal policy will be further expanded next year. First of all, from the perspective of deficit ratio, our deficit ratio is 3% this year and 3% at the beginning of last year. However, we had a special budget adjustment at the end of last year, so the deficit ratio from the end of last year to the end of last year was actually 3.8%. Looking forward to next year, we think that the ratio that may be close to 4% should be the effect that everyone expects to achieve at present. In terms of monetary policy, we can see a series of monetary policies, including further relaxing some restrictions on purchase restriction and loan restriction, including the down payment ratio, and a particularly important one is to reduce the mortgage interest rates. I think these monetary policies will be further promoted in the future, and even further declined in mortgage interest rates, for example.